TradingView.com is a platform used for financial market analysis, offering advanced charting tools, technical indicators, and social networking features. It allows users to analyze various asset classes like stocks, forex, and commodities, and also facilitates sharing of trading ideas within a community.
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Finviz.com is an online platform that provides traders with financial data and tools for stock analysis and screening. It's known for its user-friendly interface, visualization of data, and a comprehensive selection of screening criteria.
The Finviz market heatmap is a visual tool that helps investors quickly understand how different stocks and sectors are performing. It displays stocks as colored blocks, where green represents positive performance (gains) and red indicates negative performance (losses). The size of each block corresponds to the company's market capitalization, meaning larger companies appear bigger on the map. It helps spot trends.
The CNN Fear & Greed Index is a tool that measures investor sentiment in the U.S. stock market, ranging from extreme fear (0) to extreme greed (100). It is calculated using seven factors, including stock price momentum, market volatility, and trading volume, to provide insight into the emotional drivers of market trends.
Extreme fear in the CNN Fear & Greed Index can signal potential buying opportunities when prices are undervalued due to pessimistic sentiment, while extreme greed may indicate overvaluation and a chance to sell or short. By leveraging these extremes, traders can make informed decisions to capitalize on market emotions and improve timing strategies.
Simply WallStreet is an investment platform designed to help retail investors make smarter decisions by providing visual stock analysis, portfolio tracking, and market insights. It simplifies complex financial data into easy-to-understand visuals, empowering users to confidently manage their investments.
Simply WallStreet’s Snowflake Analysis graphic visually summarizes a stock’s performance across five criteria: valuation, future growth, past performance, financial health, and dividend. The size, shape, and color of the snowflake represent the company’s score in each category, making it easy to compare and evaluate investments.
Robinhood.com, a pioneer of commission-free investing, is a U.S. based financial services company headquartered in Menlo Park, California which offers a mobile app and website providing free stock, options, ETF and cryptocurrency trades. With an account minimum of $0, it gives you ability to buy fractional shares in real-time and commission free. Mutual funds and bonds aren't offered, and only taxable investment accounts are available. Robinhood is a good.
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Ally Bank is a great online bank among people seeking great rates and good customer service. It has no physical branches, allowing it to offer better rates and fees than standard banks. Ally Invest offers self-directed, commission-free full share trading on eligible U.S. exchange-listed stock, ETF, and option trades with a $0 minimum balance. It has both a mobile app and website.
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Coinbase.com, the world's largest Bitcoin (BTC) broker. They represent an easy and fast way for new users to purchase bitcoins. Coinbase supports customers in over 30 countries, including the United States, Europe, UK, Singapore, Canada, and Australia. Customers can purchase bitcoins by debit card, bank transfer, SEPA transfer, and more. Coinbase is the largest U.S.-based cryptocurrency exchange, trading nearly 100 cryptocurrencies.
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Percentages in losses have a stronger impact compared to gains, because they're calculated from a larger base when the stock's price has increased. Here's why: When you gain a percentage, it's based on the original price. But when you lose a percentage, it's based on the new higher price after the gain. That means the dollar value of the loss often outweighs the dollar value of the gain, even if the percentages appear equal.
For instance:
30% gain on $100 brings you to $130.
30% loss on $130 takes you down to $91. Here, you gained $30 but lost $39—a bigger impact on your total investment.
This phenomenon highlights how losses can erode gains more quickly, which is why managing risk with stop losses and other strategies is so important. This relationship between the percentage gain and the percentage loss needed to break even is nonlinear because they are calculated from different bases (initial price versus increased price).
Here’s the math to see this in action:
Let’s say the stock's initial price is $100, and it increases by a gain of X%, making the new price $$100 \times (1 + X/100)$$.
To break even, the stop loss percentage Y% would have to bring the price back to $100. The decrease from the higher price is $$Y/100 \times [100 \times (1 + X/100)]$$.
The formula for Y% can be derived as:
$$Y = \frac{X}{1 + X/100} \times 100$$.
This means as X% increases, Y% decreases but not at a constant rate. For example:
If the gain is 10% (new price = $110), the break-even stop loss is $$Y = \frac{10}{1 + 10/100} \times 100 = 9.09%$$.
If the gain is 50% (new price = $150), the break-even stop loss is $$Y = \frac{50}{1 + 50/100} \times 100 = 33.33%$$.
The takeaway: The break-even stop loss percentage is smaller for smaller gains and larger for larger gains. Below is an example to help illustrate the “nonlinear” relationship between gains and losses and related percent gain needed to recover from loss:
CANSLIM is a stock-picking strategy designed to identify high-growth stocks, particularly in bullish markets. It was developed by William J. O'Neil, the founder of Investor's Business Daily, and has been the gold standard for identifying high-growth stocks for decades. The acronym CANSLIM represents seven key criteria to evaluate stocks:
C - Current Quarterly Earnings: Look for companies with strong earnings growth, ideally over 25% compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
A - Annual Earnings Growth: Focus on companies with consistent annual earnings growth over the past three to five years, also exceeding 25%.
N - New Products, Management, or Events: Companies introducing innovative products, services, or leadership changes often experience stock price surges.
S - Supply and Demand: Stocks with limited supply (e.g., share buybacks) and high demand tend to perform well.
L - Leader or Laggard: Invest in market leaders within their industry, as they often outperform competitors.
I - Institutional Sponsorship: Look for stocks with backing from major institutions, but avoid excessive institutional ownership.
M - Market Direction: Only invest when the overall market trend is favorable, as even strong stocks can struggle in bearish conditions.
This strategy combines fundamental and technical analysis to identify stocks with high growth potential. It's particularly effective in fast-moving markets but requires active monitoring, as these stocks can be sensitive to changes in growth trajectories or market conditions.
Here is a great free stock screening website that follows CANSLIM and also Mark Minervini rules: http://www.canslimscreener.com
In stock investing, the poular idiom and phenomenon of being "Monkey Hammered" illustrates the challenges of navigating unpredictable market down conditions. Whether triggered by disappointing earnings reports, geopolitical events, or shifts in investor sentiment, these dramatic declines emphasize the importance of risk management and diversification for investors. Understanding the causes behind such price movements is crucial for making informed investment decisions and weathering the storms of the financial markets. For staying profitable, always trade with the market and with stock trends and not against these trends.
The Market Cycle is the repeating pattern of expansion and contraction in financial markets, driven by economic forces and investor psychology, progressing through accumulation, uptrend, distribution, and downtrend, influencing buying and selling behavior over time.
Investors face emotional states in a typical Market Cycle which have a psychological impact on investment decisions. Beginning with Hope and progressing through Optimism, Euphoria, and eventually Complacency during market highs. As the market declines, investors grapple with feelings like Anxiety, Panic, and Capitulation, followed by Depression and Disbelief as recovery begins. This cycle underscores how emotions such as greed and fear can drive market behavior, often leading to irrational decisions like buying at peaks or selling at lows. Recognizing these patterns can help investors adopt a more disciplined approach, weathering the emotional highs and lows to better align with the market trends..
While Stan Weinstein’s Stage Analysis and the Market Cycle share similarities, they are not exactly the same. Stage Analysis is a subset of the broader Market Cycle concept. It is a structured technical framework that categorizes price movements into four distinct stages—Basing (Stage 1), Advancing (Stage 2), Distribution (Stage 3), and Declining (Stage 4)—to help traders identify optimal entry and exit points. The Market Cycle, on the other hand, is a broader concept that includes both price movements and investor psychology.
Weinstein did not invent the concept of Market Cycles— but his Stage Analysis was developed after studying thousands of stock charts and refining observations inspired by earlier technical analysis work, particularly Edwards and Magee’s book, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends. Market cycles have been recognized for decades, with various analysts describing similar patterns in different ways. Weinstein’s contribution was simplifying and structuring these observations into a clear, actionable system stock traders could use.
For more information reference: The Complete Guide to Stan Weinstein’s Stage Analysis
Stock pattern indicators are tools used in technical analysis to identify trends and predict future price movements in the stock market. They are based on common visual patterns formed by the price movements of stocks on charts.
Here are some key aspects:
Trendlines: These are straight lines drawn on a chart to connect a series of highs or lows, helping traders spot areas of support and resistance.
Chart Patterns: These include formations like head-and-shoulders, double bottoms, triangles, cup and handle patterns, which signal potential reversals or continuations in price trends.
Candlestick Patterns: These are specific formations in candlestick charts that indicate bullish or bearish sentiment, such as "doji" or "hammer" patterns.
These indicators are essential for traders aiming to make informed decisions about buying or selling stocks. Stock pattern indicators are crucial for trend trading because they help traders identify and capitalize on market trends effectively.
Here's why:
Spotting Trends: Indicators like trendlines and chart patterns reveal the direction of the market, whether it's bullish, bearish, or consolidating. This allows traders to align their strategies with the prevailing trend.
Predicting Reversals: Patterns such as head-and-shoulders or double bottoms signal potential trend reversals, enabling traders to adjust their positions before the market shifts.
Timing Entries and Exits: Candlestick patterns provide insights into market sentiment, helping traders decide when to enter or exit trades for maximum profitability.
Risk Management: By understanding support and resistance levels through these indicators, traders can set stop-loss orders and manage risks more effectively.
These tools are essential for making informed decisions and improving the chances of success for an edge with trend trading.
Trend trading and swing trading are related but distinct strategies. While both involve analyzing price movements, they differ in their approach and timeframes:
Trend Trading: Focuses on identifying and following long-term price trends, whether upward or downward. Positions are held for weeks, months, or even years, depending on the trend's duration. Trend traders aim to ride the trend until it reverses.
Swing Trading: Targets short- to medium-term price movements within a trend. Swing traders capitalize on smaller fluctuations, often holding positions for a few days to a few weeks. They focus on buying at support levels and selling at resistance levels.
In essence, swing trading is more short-term and reactive, while trend trading is longer-term and patient. Both strategies can complement each other, depending on one's trading style and goals. Additionally, both emphasize limiting losses as part of their risk management strategies and incorporate market direction as a key factor.
The CANSLIM strategy, developed by William J. O'Neil, is more closely related to trend trading and swing trading than traditional long-term investing. Here's why:
Focus on Growth Stocks: CANSLIM emphasizes identifying stocks with strong growth potential, often using a combination of fundamental and technical analysis. This aligns with the active nature of trend and swing trading.
Shorter Time Horizon: While not as short-term as day trading, CANSLIM investors typically hold positions for weeks to months, aiming to capitalize on upward trends in high-growth stocks.
Market Timing: The strategy incorporates market direction as a key factor, which is a hallmark of trend and swing trading. Long-term investing, on the other hand, often disregards short-term market fluctuations.
In contrast, long-term investing focuses on buying and holding undervalued companies for years or decades, relying on compounding and fundamental strength rather than active trading. The CANSLIM strategy is safer for trend trading or swing trading because it incorporates solid fundamental factors like market cap, earnings growth, and company size, ensuring trades are backed by strong, high-quality stocks.
Day trading involves buying and selling stocks within a single trading day, aiming to profit from small price movements. Unlike trend trading or swing trading, day traders close all positions by the end of the trading day, avoiding overnight risks.
Here’s why day trading is considered more dangerous:
High Risk: Day trading relies on rapid decisions and market volatility, which can lead to substantial losses if trades go wrong.
Emotional Stress: Constant decision-making under pressure can take a toll on mental health.
Technical Challenges: Technology failures or execution delays can severely impact performance.
While day trading can feel like gambling due to its speculative nature, stock price fluctuations, and high failure rate (95% of day traders reportedly lose money), it differs in that successful day traders rely on skill, discipline, and strategy rather than pure luck.
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